《經(jīng)濟學經(jīng)典教材·核心課系列:計量經(jīng)濟學原理與實踐》是古扎拉蒂集數(shù)十年教學經(jīng)驗、采用“干中學”(learning by doing)的方法組織教學材料編寫的計量經(jīng)濟學教科書,沒有煩瑣復雜的理論推演和艱深的數(shù)學討論。本書從一個非常實用的角度解釋計量經(jīng)濟學,每一章都由一到兩個生動的案例來展開教學。每一個主題背后的基本理論均得到涵蓋,基礎的統(tǒng)計學概念在附錄中給出,這都使得本書不但結(jié)構(gòu)靈活,而且內(nèi)容豐富。本書是計量經(jīng)濟學初學者的首選佳作。
Econometrics by Example (EBE) is written primarily for undergraduate students in economics, accounting, finance, marketing, and related disciplines. It is also intended for students in MBA programs and for researchers in business, government, and re-search organizations.
There are several excellent textbooks in econometrics, written from very elementary to very advanced levels. The writers of these books have their intended audiences. I have contributed to this field with my own books, Basic Econometrics (McGraw-Hill,5thedn, 2009) and Essentials of Econometrics (McGraw Hil,4thedn,2009). These books have been well received and have been translated into several languages, EBE is different from my own books and those written by others in that it deals with major topics in econometrics from the point of view of their practical applications. Because of space linutations, textbooks generally discuss econometric theory and illustrate econometric techniques with just a few examples. But space does not permit them todeal with concrete examples in detail.
In EBE, each chapter discusses one or two examples in depth. To give but one illustration of this, Chapter 8 discusses binary dummy dependent variable regressionmodels. This specific example relates to the deasion to smoke or not to smoke, takingthe value of 1 if a person smokes or the value of 0 if he/she does not smoke. The data consist of a random sample of119 US males. The explanatory variables considered are age, education, income, and price of agarettes. There are three approaches to modeling this problem: (1) ordinary least-squares (OLS), which leads to the linear probability model (LPM), (2) the logit model, based on the logistic probability distribution, and (3) the probit model, based on the normal distribution.
Which is a better model? In assessing this, we have to consider the pros and cons of all of these three approaches and evaluate the results based on these three competingmodels and then decide which one to choose. Most textbooks have a theoretical discussion about this, but do not have the space to discuss all the practical aspects of a given problem.
達摩達爾·古扎拉蒂( Damodar Gujarati) ,美國西點軍校的經(jīng)濟學榮譽退休教授。他曾在紐約城市大學執(zhí)教達25年之久,之后又在紐約美國西點軍校政治科學系執(zhí)教17年。古扎拉蒂在美國及世界知名的學術期刊上發(fā)表了大量論文,這些期刊包括《經(jīng)濟學與統(tǒng)計學評論》(Review of Economics and Statistics)、《經(jīng)濟學雜志》(Economic Journal)、《金融與數(shù)量分析雜志》(Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis)和《商學雜志》(Journal of Business)等。他的《計量經(jīng)濟學基礎》是全球最流行的計量經(jīng)濟學教材之一,被翻譯成多種語言出版(中文版由中國人民大學出版社出版)。
前言
致謝
來自作者的提示
表目錄
圖目錄
第一部分 線性回歸模型
第1章 線性回歸模型:一個概覽
第2章 回歸模型的函數(shù)形式
第3章 定性解釋變量回歸模型
第二部分 經(jīng)典線性回歸模型的重要評估
第4章 回歸診斷I:多重共線性
第5章 回歸診斷II:異方差性
第6章 回歸診斷III:自相關
第7章 回歸診斷IV:模型設定錯誤
第三部分 橫截面數(shù)據(jù)回歸模型
第8章 logit和probit模型
第9章 多項回歸模型
第10章 序數(shù)回歸模型
第11章 限值因變量回歸模型
第12章 對計數(shù)數(shù)據(jù)建模:泊松和負二項回歸模型
第四部分 時間序列計量經(jīng)濟學論題
第13章 平穩(wěn)和非平穩(wěn)時間序列
第14章 協(xié)積和誤差校正模型
第15章 資產(chǎn)價格波動性:ARCH和GARCH模型
第16章 經(jīng)濟預測
第17章 面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸模型
第18章 生存分析
第19章 隨機回歸元和工具變量方法
附錄1 文中使用的數(shù)據(jù)集
附錄2 統(tǒng)計學附錄
索引