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本書結(jié)合十四五配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃相關(guān)要求與山東省相關(guān)工作實(shí)踐，從配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃方法、目標(biāo)、策略、深度要求等方面對新形勢下配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃相關(guān)內(nèi)容進(jìn)行了全面梳理，提出高效利用設(shè)備、精準(zhǔn)預(yù)測負(fù)荷、科學(xué)確定發(fā)展重點(diǎn)、差異化制定目標(biāo)、優(yōu)化規(guī)劃工作體系、推廣鄉(xiāng)村電網(wǎng)網(wǎng)格化規(guī)劃等山東省十四五配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃
方法及策略。本書共分三篇十章，分別是配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃重點(diǎn)篇、配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃方法篇、配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃策略篇。并附有配電網(wǎng)設(shè)
施空間布局規(guī)劃內(nèi)容深度規(guī)定。

前言能源安全新戰(zhàn)略提出以來，清潔低碳、安全高效的能源體系穩(wěn)步發(fā)展，清潔化率、電氣化率等關(guān)鍵轉(zhuǎn)型指標(biāo)顯著提升，電網(wǎng)在其中發(fā)揮了關(guān)鍵作用。2020年9 月，我國提出了碳達(dá)峰、碳中和的戰(zhàn)略目標(biāo)。踐行雙碳戰(zhàn)略，能源是主戰(zhàn)場，電力是主力軍。電力作為清潔高效的二次能源，在未來人類文明將起到重要的能源載體作用，而未來的電網(wǎng)除了承擔(dān)電力安全可靠輸送，也將發(fā)展成為承載能源革命的基礎(chǔ)性平臺，對能源革命具有重大推動作用。配電網(wǎng)是電網(wǎng)的重要組成部分，是保障電力配得下、用得上的關(guān)鍵環(huán)節(jié)，配電網(wǎng)的發(fā)展直接決定未來電力獲得的質(zhì)量，也間接影響能源革命的進(jìn)程。因此亟需對配電網(wǎng)的發(fā)展趨勢進(jìn)行研判，提前謀劃新形勢下十四五配電網(wǎng)重點(diǎn)發(fā)展方向和工作重點(diǎn)，深化細(xì)化十四五配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃研究，助力新型電力系統(tǒng)建設(shè)與發(fā)展。為此，國網(wǎng)山東省電力公司發(fā)展策劃部、國網(wǎng)山東省電力公司經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)研究院依據(jù)《配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃設(shè)計(jì)技術(shù)導(dǎo)則》等技術(shù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)和規(guī)范，緊扣新發(fā)展理念、國家重大戰(zhàn)略、高質(zhì)量發(fā)展，從配電網(wǎng)發(fā)展趨勢及重點(diǎn)、配電網(wǎng)負(fù)荷預(yù)測及規(guī)劃、配電網(wǎng)設(shè)備效率提升、配電網(wǎng)精益投資、配電網(wǎng)適應(yīng)國土空間規(guī)劃等維度開展專題研究，并在研究成果基礎(chǔ)上，總結(jié)提煉新形勢下山東省十四五配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃方法及策略，編制形成《山東配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃指導(dǎo)手冊》，為配電網(wǎng)高質(zhì)量發(fā)展做好支撐。編者2022 年11 月

國網(wǎng)山東省電力公司是國家電網(wǎng)公司的全資子公司。本部設(shè)22個部門，下轄18家地市級供電企業(yè)、17家業(yè)務(wù)支撐單位和綜合單位，3家新興產(chǎn)業(yè)單位及98家縣供電公司，服務(wù)電力客戶4915萬。2020年，全省全社會用電量6939.85億千瓦時，公司完成售電量4126.9億千瓦時，同比增長3.96%。國網(wǎng)山東省電力公司發(fā)展策劃部是所屬一個部門。,國網(wǎng)山東省電力公司經(jīng)濟(jì)技術(shù)研究院成立于2012年4月9日，是省公司電網(wǎng)發(fā)展和公司發(fā)展支撐單位，目前具備工程咨詢、工程設(shè)計(jì)雙甲資質(zhì)，設(shè)有4個職能部室、3個中心和1個子公司。主要負(fù)責(zé)全省電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃和工程設(shè)計(jì)技術(shù)歸口管理；負(fù)責(zé)全省電網(wǎng)發(fā)展總體規(guī)劃和專項(xiàng)規(guī)劃的研究與編制；負(fù)責(zé)220～500千伏電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的研究和編制；負(fù)責(zé)35千伏及以下電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃評審，指導(dǎo)市經(jīng)研所具體編制110千伏及以下電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃并納入全省電網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃和專項(xiàng)規(guī)劃；負(fù)責(zé)牽頭開展省內(nèi)220～500千伏電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目可研、電力設(shè)施遷改方案編制；負(fù)責(zé)110～220千伏電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目可研、電力設(shè)施遷改方案、電源接入系統(tǒng)方案評審；承擔(dān)所轄35～220千伏（規(guī)模以下）電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目初設(shè)評審和結(jié)算審核；負(fù)責(zé)省公司資本類、成本類項(xiàng)目的技經(jīng)業(yè)務(wù)支撐；負(fù)責(zé)電網(wǎng)建設(shè)項(xiàng)目的工程質(zhì)量監(jiān)督，負(fù)責(zé)定額站、質(zhì)監(jiān)中心站日常管理；主要承接220千伏及以上電網(wǎng)項(xiàng)目設(shè)計(jì)；負(fù)責(zé)大修技改、營銷、信息通信、小型基建等項(xiàng)目造價咨詢和可研初設(shè)評審工作。

目錄
前言
第一篇配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃重點(diǎn) ····························································· 1
第一章智慧配電網(wǎng)發(fā)展概述 ····························································· 2
第一節(jié) 智慧配電網(wǎng)國內(nèi)外發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ················································· 2
第二節(jié) 智慧配電網(wǎng)的內(nèi)涵特征和評估指標(biāo) ········································ 6
第三節(jié) 智慧配電網(wǎng)的發(fā)展框架與重點(diǎn)任務(wù) ········································ 9
第四節(jié) 智慧配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃示范工程 ··················································· 21
第二章十四五配電網(wǎng)發(fā)展重點(diǎn) ···················································· 24
第一節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)國內(nèi)外發(fā)展情況分析 ················································ 24
第二節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)發(fā)展趨勢分析 ························································· 29
第三節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)發(fā)展原則 ······························································· 29
第四節(jié) 城農(nóng)網(wǎng)發(fā)展建設(shè)重點(diǎn) ························································· 31
第五節(jié) 分電壓等級建設(shè)重點(diǎn) ························································· 33
第六節(jié) 分供電區(qū)域建設(shè)重點(diǎn) ························································· 35
第二篇配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃方法······························································· 39
第三章新形勢下配電網(wǎng)負(fù)荷預(yù)測 ······················································ 40
第一節(jié) 多元化負(fù)荷特性分析 ························································· 40
第二節(jié) 新形勢下配電網(wǎng)負(fù)荷預(yù)測方法 ············································· 45
第三節(jié) 多元化負(fù)荷接入配電網(wǎng)適應(yīng)性分析 ······································· 62
第四章鄉(xiāng)村振興戰(zhàn)略下網(wǎng)格化規(guī)劃 ··················································· 65
第一節(jié) 規(guī)劃總體思路 ·································································· 65
第二節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)分析指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建 ·················································· 67
第三節(jié) 鄉(xiāng)村配電網(wǎng)網(wǎng)格劃分方法 ·················································· 71
第四節(jié) 基于鄉(xiāng)村負(fù)荷組的負(fù)荷預(yù)測方法 ········································· 75
第五節(jié) 鄉(xiāng)村中壓網(wǎng)架規(guī)劃方法 ····················································· 82
第三篇配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃策略 ···························································· 90
第五章高壓配電網(wǎng)設(shè)備利用效率提升策略 ········································· 91
第一節(jié) 設(shè)備利用效率影響因素分析 ·············································· 91
第二節(jié) 設(shè)備最佳負(fù)載能力計(jì)算模型 ·············································· 93
第三節(jié) 設(shè)備利用效率指標(biāo)評價體系 ············································· 100
第四節(jié) 優(yōu)化策略分析 ································································ 109
第六章 10kV 配電變壓器效率效益提升策略 ······································ 114
第一節(jié) 配電變壓器典型應(yīng)用場景分類 ·········································· 114
第二節(jié) 典型應(yīng)用場景的負(fù)荷特性分析 ·········································· 115
第三節(jié) 配電變壓器效率效益情況分析 ·········································· 120
第四節(jié) 配電變壓器的最優(yōu)效率效益測算 ······································· 127
第五節(jié) 配電變壓器運(yùn)行效率效益提升策略 ···································· 139
第七章配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃投資分配優(yōu)化策略 ·············································· 146
第一節(jié) 投資規(guī)模影響因素 ························································· 146
第二節(jié) 分地區(qū)配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃投資規(guī)模確定 ······································· 148
第三節(jié) 分電壓等級配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃投資規(guī)模確定 ································· 152
第四節(jié) 項(xiàng)目投資優(yōu)選排序 ························································· 159
第五節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃投資分配流程 ················································ 163
第八章配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃信息化建設(shè)策略 ················································· 164
第一節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃信息化建設(shè)背景 ············································· 164
第二節(jié) 信息化建設(shè)總體技術(shù)路線 ················································ 165
第三節(jié) 信息化建設(shè)需求及技術(shù)實(shí)現(xiàn)路線 ······································· 166
第九章新形勢下配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃管理策略 ·············································· 174
第一節(jié) 國土空間規(guī)劃對配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的影響 ····································· 174
第二節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃體系 ····································· 176
第三節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網(wǎng)規(guī)劃工作流程 ······························· 181
第四節(jié) 國土空間布局下的配電網(wǎng)工作機(jī)制 ····································· 185
第十章配電網(wǎng)設(shè)施空間布局規(guī)劃內(nèi)容深度規(guī)定 ································· 189
第一節(jié) 國土空間規(guī)劃對現(xiàn)有配電網(wǎng)設(shè)施布局規(guī)劃的影響 ·················· 189
第二節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)設(shè)施空間布局規(guī)劃總體策略 ····································· 190
第三節(jié) 配電網(wǎng)設(shè)施空間布局內(nèi)容深度規(guī)定主要變化及優(yōu)勢 ··············· 193

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